xiān​yàn​gài​lǜ

prior probability

  1. transcendental; pre-experiential
    a priori; (philosophy) relating to or derived by reasoning from self-evident propositions rather than observed facts
  2. probability
    The numerical likelihood of a specific event occurring under a set of conditions; also called 几率 jī​lǜ, 机率 jī​lǜ, 或然率 huò​rán​lǜ, or 机会率 jī​huì​lǜ